Quick Takeaways
- XRP ETF launch set for September 18 is a big milestone for the crypto
- XRP looks ready to break $3.40, with targets at $3.60 and $3.81
- Bigger moves may come in October as major institutions eye XRP ETFs
XRP ETF Launch Set to Begin Trading Finally
After weeks of anticipation, the XRP ETF launch is finally locked in for September 18, 2025. The Rex-Osprey Spot XRP ETF will start trading after a short delay from the SEC, and while it’s not a full-blown spot ETF in the traditional sense, it’s still a major step forward.
Here’s the key detail: this ETF is what’s called a hybrid. That means it doesn’t hold XRP directly. Instead, it uses third-party custodians to handle XRP exposure. For investors, that’s still a regulated way to tap into XRP without needing to deal with private keys or exchanges.
So, while it’s not perfect, it’s still a legit bridge between traditional finance and crypto, and that could be just what XRP needs to make its next move.
XRP ETF Launch Could Be the Breakout Trigger
Right now, XRP is trading around $3.10, holding steady in a quiet but optimistic market. But things could get exciting fast.
The key level to watch? $3.40. If XRP can break and hold above that, analysts say a move to $3.60 or even $3.81 could happen in the short term.
But Isn’t That a Bearish Pattern on the Chart?
Yes, technically, XRP is in a descending triangle, which tends to break down more often than not. But here’s the twist: because XRP has been trending up overall, this triangle could act more like a launchpad than a warning sign.
So, if the ETF launch brings in even modest buying interest, there’s a real chance for a breakout here, especially if trading volume picks up.
Short-Term Price Targets if Momentum Kicks In
If XRP can push past $3.40, these are the key price levels traders are targeting:
- $3.60 – a safer, more conservative level
- $3.81 – a stronger move that lines up with past resistance zones
These targets are possible within the next 30 to 60 days, especially if ETF inflows start picking up or if market sentiment around altcoins improves.
October Could Be Even Bigger for XRP
While September’s XRP ETF launch is exciting, the real fireworks might happen in October.
That’s when heavy-hitters like Franklin Templeton and WisdomTree are expected to get the green light for true spot XRP ETFs, meaning these funds will actually hold XRP directly.
That matters a lot because unlike Rex-Osprey’s hybrid setup, these ETFs would have a direct impact on XRP’s price. When people invest, the fund would need to go out and buy actual XRP, putting real demand into the market.
And considering these firms manage trillions of dollars globally, the potential inflows could be massive.
And Don’t Forget the Fed’s Rate Meeting
Just one day before the ETF launches, the Federal Reserve meets on September 17, and markets are betting on a rate cut.
This could stir up some volatility in the short term, think price wicks or sudden dips, but rate cuts usually end up being good for crypto.
Risk-on assets like XRP often rally when borrowing gets cheaper and liquidity flows back into markets.
So the timing here is interesting: macro tailwinds + ETF launch could create a very bullish setup.
Why the Hybrid Structure Isn’t a Dealbreaker (But Isn’t Perfect Either)
Let’s be honest, most crypto fans were hoping for a full-blown spot ETF, where the fund would have to hold XRP directly. That’s not what Rex-Osprey is offering.
Instead, their hybrid ETF relies on third-party arrangements, which means ETF inflows might not instantly drive demand for XRP itself.
Still, it’s not all bad.
This launch opens the door for more regulated products and shows that XRP is finally getting recognition in traditional finance, and that’s a long time coming.
