Quick Takeaways
- By 2030, 4 billion individuals will use cryptocurrency, according to Raoul Pal.
- He also predicts a $100 trillion crypto market within a decade
- Some people say that’s way too ambitious and maybe even misleading
Crypto Forecast Says Billions Will Join the Party Soon
Okay, so here’s what’s making waves in the crypto world this week: Raoul Pal, former hedge fund manager and now CEO of Real Vision, dropped a seriously bold crypto forecast. According to him, four billion people, yes, four billion, will be utilizing cryptocurrencies by 2030.
That’s more than just big. That’s half the entire global population online. Pal’s reasoning? He looked at how crypto adoption compares to how the internet grew in its early days. And based on his numbers, crypto is actually growing faster than the internet did. Wild, right?
To break it down:
- By 2000, there were around 187 million Internet users.
- There will be approximately 659 million bitcoin users by the end of 2024.
- It’s been growing at 137% per year for nearly a decade
According to Pal, if cryptocurrency adoption continues or even slightly slows down, we might reach:
- 1 billion users by 2025, and
- 4 billion by 2030
That’s not just growth. That’s a cultural shift.
The market is valued at $100 trillion, according to Pal’s Crypto Forecast.
For example, as 4 billion users were not enough, Pal also thinks that the Crypto Market Cap could reach $ 100 trillion within the next decade.
That would make crypto one of the biggest asset classes on the planet potentially bigger than stocks, bonds, and real estate.
So what’s fueling this prediction?
According to Pal, two things:
- Currency debasement: basically, when fiat money (like the dollar or euro) loses value over time
- 2. Global adoption: As more individuals use cryptocurrency, the system gains value.
He argues that 90% of crypto’s price movement can be traced back to fiat losing its purchasing power. The rest? That’s pure adoption more users, more utility, more investment.
So, if people keep looking for alternatives to traditional money, crypto could explode in both users and value.
But… Is This Just Hype? Not Everyone’s Buying It
Now, let’s be honest: this crypto forecast sounds exciting, but a lot of people in the community are skeptical and they’ve got valid points.
One major issue? Pal is using wallet addresses to count users. And, well… that’s kind of shaky.
Think about it: anyone can make 10 wallets. Some people create new ones regularly just for privacy or security.
One commenter on X (formerly Twitter) said they open a new wallet every six months not because they’re new to crypto, but because they like staying safe. Another user said that a project founder could easily make 10,000 wallets just to make their platform look more active.
Pal responded by saying that it’s kind of like internet users having multiple IP addresses. Fair enough but it still makes the numbers look inflated.
Meanwhile, other sources offer totally different figures:
- According to Triple-A, by the end of 2024, there will be more than 560 million investors.
- However, according to the 2024 crypto report of A16Z, there are only 30 to 60 million active users per month.
That’s a massive gap and it shows how tricky it is to measure real adoption.
So… Is This Crypto Forecast Legit or Just Wishful Thinking?
Honestly? It’s probably a bit of both.
On the one hand, Raoul Pal has a track record of seeing big-picture trends early and it’s true that crypto adoption is growing fast. Faster than most people expected. If inflation keeps eating away at fiat and tech keeps improving, Pal’s vision doesn’t seem so crazy.
But on the other hand, wallet numbers aren’t real user numbers, and market growth doesn’t always follow straight lines. Things like government regulation, security issues, and public trust still matter a lot.
So yes, this crypto forecast is exciting. It paints a picture of a future where crypto is just as common as email or texting. But let’s not throw logic out the window. It’s one thing to believe in the future of crypto. It’s another to assume the entire world will be onboard in five years.
